Application of the Generalized Pareto Principle to Model Maximum Temperatures

Authors

Abderrahmane Ziari
USTHB, FSTGAT, Climatology Laboratory, FSTGAT, USTHB
Abderrahmane Medjerab
USTHB, FSTGAT, Climatology Laboratory, FSTGAT, USTHB

Synopsis

According to the Global Environmental Conference 2021, the phenomenon of global warming is expected to result in severe climatic occurrences, impacting an ever-growing population with increasing vulnerability. This phenomenon is not attributable to climate change per se but rather to the potential for an exacerbation of its magnitude. The purpose of this article is to identify the highest temperatures in northeastern Algeria. We utilized the Generalized Pareto Distribution (GPD) to analyze the data obtained from the selected weather station, with the aim of comprehending the characteristics of the maximum values. The findings indicate that, regardless of the duration between occurrences, the monthly mean temperature consistently hovers around 31°C.

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Published
December 9, 2024