PREDICTION OF COVID-19 DYNAMIC INDICATORS USING MATHEMATICAL MODELING

We believe that the use of modern methods of mathematical modeling of the COVID-19 epidemic makes it possible to proactively obtain more reliable information about the development of the epidemic process of an unknown and new type of infectious disease both in the defined territory of the settlement, and in the country, and in the event of a pandemic - and several countries. Mathematical modeling of the infectious process of especially dangerous infections is mandatory in predicting and implementing the entire complex of anti-epidemic and treatment-and-prophylactic measures at any stage of their implementation. On the basis of this mathematical model, the emergency medical service was able, in the usual anti-epidemic mode, to make the most of its available capabilities and reserves for providing emergency medical care to the population of Moscow, without attracting additional forces and means for this.